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Fundamental Analysis

The Dollar Will Likely Extend Gains Next Week. Here is Why.

The unexpected decision of the Bank of England to go against the market consensus and leave interested rate unchanged not only led to Pound collapse, but has also undermined the belief of market...

Inflation Risks May Force the Fed to be More Aggressive in Policy Tightening

The Dollar trades near the opening on Wednesday ahead of the Fed meeting. The US central bank is widely expected to announce the start of pandemic-era QE tapering. However, the pace of tapering is...

Dollar Takes Respite Before the Fed

The RBA announced that it abandons yield curve control atthe meeting on Tuesday in light of significant inflation improvements. The newshowever failed to bolster hawkish AUD bets, as at the same time...

USD may Extend the Rally on the FOMC Hawkish Surprise

The dollar rose sharply on Friday, breaking through a corrective channel and bouncing off a key bullish support line (scenario discussed on Friday):One of the key drivers of the rally was the US...

Key Economic Events and Reports for the Week Ahead

Next week, markets will undoubtedly focus on two key events - the FOMC decision and release of the Non-Farm Payrolls report. The Fed meeting will take place earlier, on Wednesday, that’s why the...

ECB: Higher but Still Temporary Inflation Ahead

EU inflation in the coming years will be higher than previously estimated and only slightly below the ECB target of 2% in 2022, showed on Friday the ECB poll, which is one of the main sources of...

Key USD Bearish Threshold Remains Intact

Eurozone inflation was materially higher than the consensus forecastin October, making it slightly difficult for the ECB to maintain a huge stimulusbias in the monetary policy. The data on Friday...

EURUSD Poised to Decline on Potentially Dovish ECB Stance

ECB will hold a meeting today. Market participants are primarily concerned about the ECB’s reaction function to upside inflation risks, as well as how the European regulator perceives the prospects...

USDCAD Rebound may Target 1.25 as BoC may Fail to Deliver Hawkish Surprise

European shares came under selling pressure on Wednesday ahead of the ECB meeting. Commodity markets and emerging market currencies pare down recent gains, indicating waning risk appetite. Another...